Basketball and gambling have more in common than you may think. In order to succeed at pursuit, it is helpful to have a proven system. In the event of basketball, having a reliable offensive strategy which you’re able to roll out each game irrespective of the matchup provides you a leg-up. Think Mike D’Antoni’s free-flowing space-and-pace attack or Jerry Sloan’s nearly unbeatable pick-and-roll offense from the 1980s and 90s.
When it comes to gambling, you can acquire the same sort of benefit by having a closely defined set of principles that you can use to each and every match regardless of who’s on the court.
Luckily, you do not need to create your own betting system from scratch. There are already a few established strategies that you can try on for size when you put down wagers on your favorite teams, and there is no rule against pilfering in the playbooks of those who came before you. We have included a number of the most reliable systems and money-management approaches below, along with insights about how best to use them. When coupled with an understanding of the sport, these systems can help turn rookie betters into all-stars.
The Top Totals System
Few approaches are easier to learn and use in relation to the Top Totals System made by Allen Moody, a sports-betting professional and the author of Getting a Winning Gambler and Sports Betting Basics. Moody discovered that sportsbooks frequently underestimate game levels for NBA non-conference games, and began taking the over on all games with an over/under of 220 total points. It’s a very simple strategy, but it paid off handsomely as he was right 63.5percent of time for all games meeting that standards from 2004-05 to 2008-09.
Those sorts of games have been rarities a decade ago, but they’re becoming more common now as teams push the speed and drain more three-pointers. Back in 2004-05, NBA teams scored an average of 97.2 points each game. That number jumped to 100.0 in 2008-09 and climbed all the way to 105.6 in 2016-17. Sportsbooks have become savvy for this trend, but there’s still value to be found by taking the over in games with especially high total-point projections.
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