While it will not be the biggest battle sports event of this summer, UFC 214 is the biggest MMA event of the entire year. On top of this Jon Jones-Daniel Cormier rematch, the card features two additional title bouts, contenders and enjoyable fights throughout.
Brad Taschuk of all MMAOddsBreaker.com, takes a look at where the betting odds have moved for many 12 fights since opening lines (indicated in brackets) were released and he gives his ideas on each matchup. All traces are courtesy of 5Dimes Sportsbook.
Jon Jones (-280) vs. Daniel Cormier (+220)
Jones was a -170 favorite the first time these two scrapped and some naively expected the line could be similar this time around. However, it appears that Jones’ legal issues, run-in with USADA and layoff has not had the effect expected on the line. It is hard to attribute bettors Cormier is currently 38-years-old, has been through some hard battles since their first meeting, and Jones won each aspect of that first fight. Expect something similar – if not more dominant – this time around.
Regardless of how seriously he takes his groundwork, Jones is the type of fighter who rises to the occasion like others. To him, this is the ultimate event. Cormier is his main rival and he’s the chance to regain the belt that he never lost against him. That combination will lead to a huge performance from Jones. Expect him to dispatch Cormier and re-assert his dominance at the branch.
Tyron Woodley (-210) vs. Demian Maia (+160)
Similar to the main event, this line has not seen much motion. Given that the contrasting styles, that is not hard to trust. There is a contingent of individuals who believe Woodley will starch Maia with the first punch he throws. They could very well be right. The opposing side of the coin consists of those who believe that Maia can shut the space, latch onto Woodley like he has so many others and only dominate with his grappling. They are right as well. Woodley’s tendency to back himself against the cage and play counter-puncher is going to be his demise here. Maia is becoming so good at entering the clinch when not under pressure he ought to have the ability to make Woodley miss once. Despite a high-level wrestler the likes of Woodley, once Maia gets his hands on you, that is a world of trouble.
The Brazilian’s capacity to initiate Jiu-Jitsu imports without hitting conventional takedowns is second to none (he’s perfected the only leg to back take) and Woodley being the kind of guy who likes to explode from positions will only hurt him once that occurs. It is sort of surprising that Maia by Sub pays an extra dollar (+275 as of Thursday morning), because Woodley won’t have the ability to survive 25 minutes of Maia engaging in the type of fight he wants to. The other option is most likely a fast Woodley KO (+350 for the champ at Round 1, incidentally ).
Cristiane “Cyborg” Justino (-1200) vs. Tonya Evinger (+600)
This battle being bettable depends on what type of bettor you’re. If you have no difficulty throwing a huge line in a parlay, the Cyborg moneyline (at nearly -1400), or Cyborg ITD (almost -700) are nearly sure things. If that’s not really your style, neither will be laying nearly 2-to-1 on a prop such as Cyborg Round 1.
The only case I could make for a drama relies on Evinger’s resilience. She’s taken damage in several of her fights and persevered and she likely won’t return to beat Cyborg in this one after a tough beginning, there’s an external shot she can endure five minutes. However, even the prices for”Fight Begins Round 2″ and Cyborg Round two have dropped considerably (down to +150 and +450, respectively), making them less attractive even to someone who’s always on the hunt for some round robin legs.
Robbie Lawler (-175) vs. Donald Cerrone (+135)
It is a shame this struggle is occurring after both guys have apparently passed their peak concerning durability, because a war with Lawler and Cerrone at their best are something to behold. This fight will come down to space management and in-fight decisions. Lawler would like to be indoors, Cerrone wants to be outdoors. The difficulty for Cerrone is that Lawler’s constant pressure will eventually see him get inside and at that point, expect Cerrone to be far too ready to oblige him the warfare he is looking for. While that will give us the kind of struggle we want to view, do not expect it to finish well for Cerrone.
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